edit
edit
tsline housingcon housingst
tsmktim yearm, start(1968m1)
tsline housingcon housingst
tsline housingcon housingst if tin(1990m1, 2007m12)
corrgram housingcon
corrgram housingst
pac housingst
xcorr  housingcon housingst
xcorr  housingcon housingst
regress  housingcon L(1/12). housingcon
findit lag
regress  housingcon L(1/12).housingcon
regress  housingst L(1/12).housingst
regress  housingcon L(1/12).housingcon
var  housingcon housingst, lags(1)
estat ic
var  housingcon housingst, lags(1/2)
estat ic
var  housingcon housingst, lags(1/3)
estat ic
var  housingcon housingst, lags(1/4)
estat ic
var  housingcon housingst, lags(1/5)
estat ic
var  housingcon housingst, lags(1/6)
estat ic
predict  housingconhat, xb equation(#1)
edit
drop housingconhat
var  housingcon housingst if tin(1968m1, 2005m12), lags(1/6)
predict  housingconhat if tin(2006m1, 2008m5), xb equation(#1)
tsline  housingcon housingconhat if tin(2000m1, 2008m5)
generate lnhousecon = log( housingcon)
arima  lnhousecon var5 var6 var7 var8 var9 var10 var11 var12 var13 var14 var4 var3 if tin(1968m1, 2005m12), ar(1/2) nocons
predict  housingconhat2 if tin(2006m1, 2008m5), xb 
tsline lnhousecon housingconhat2 housingcon housingconhat
twoway (tsline housingcon) (tsline housingconhat) (tsline lnhousecon, yaxis(2)) (tsline housingconhat2, yaxis(2))
twoway (tsline housingcon) (tsline housingconhat) (tsline lnhousecon, yaxis(2)) (tsline housingconhat2, yaxis(2)) if tin(2006m1, 2008m5)
var  housingcon housingst if tin(1968m1, 2005m12), lags(1/6)
predict residual, r
histogram residual, bin(30)
var  housingcon housingst if tin(1968m1, 2008m5), lags(1/6)
predict  housing2010a if tin(2008m6, 2010m12), xb equation(#1)